New Morningstar Study: Interesting Facts About 529 College Savings Plans

Morningstar recently released its annual 529 College Savings Plan study [pdf] for 2010. You can read about the final product Top 5 plans here (using some subjective judging components), but the paper also had some stats that I felt were note-worthy for those not wanting to read all 48 pages of it.

Broker-sold plans make up 52% of all 529 plan assets, direct-sold make up the other 48%. I guess I shouldn’t be, but I was surprised that only half of assets are by parents not going through a broker or financial advisor.

The average 529 balance was $9,700, which is a bit more than one year of tuition at a in-state public university (average $7,020) and much less than half a year of tuition of an out-of-state public school ($18,548) or a private college or university ($26,273). I wonder what the median is, to negate the effect of the tiny accounts.

Parents typically open accounts for their children when they are between the ages of 7 and 10, giving most families about a decade to save before their first tuition bill comes due. With only a decade, I would be wary of putting a big chunk in stocks. Many providers have already changed their “age-based” portfolios to hold less stocks. Only after the market drop, of course…

Here is a chart showing the industry average “glide path” for age-based investment options:

Roughly estimating, I see about 60% stocks for an 8-year old with a decade left before college. Before choosing such an option in your own 529, it’s important to see what your specific age-based glide path is. Many now have multiple options for conservative, moderate, and aggressive.

The asset-weighted total average expense ratio for direct-sold plans is between 0.49-0.64% annually, depending one if the plan allows investment options outside the program manager’s. The asset-weighted total average expense ratio for advisor-sold plans is between 1.16%-1.52%.

The five cheapest direct-sold 529 plans, ranked by asset-weighted total expense ratios, are:

  1. New York’s Direct 529 Program (0.25%)
  2. Utah Education Savings Plan (0.28%)
  3. The Vanguard 529 College Savings Plan, Nevada (0.28%)
  4. CollegeAdvantage 529 Savings Plan, Ohio (0.29%)
  5. College Savings Iowa 529 Plan (0.34%)

Keep in mind that this is based on actual assets held by savers, not just based on the cheapest option available in a plan. Many of these plans offer some actively-managed options for those that wish to partake.

The Story of My First Property Purchase

The following is a guest post from Investor Junkie, who shares the details of his first condo purchase. His blog discusses all things related to investing and being an entrepreneur.

The time was 1998. I was 28 years old, and still living with my parents in Long Island, New York. I did so, not because I had to, but because I wanted to. Even my girlfriend at the time was bitching I should move out as I made enough money. Needless to say that girlfriend wasn’t my girlfriend for much longer.

Unlike all of my other friends who enjoyed paying rent, I was on a mission. I wanted to own a condo as to me real estate is one of the best ways to increase my wealth. I made many sacrifices and pinched every penny I could. I knew exactly the area I was in the market for, and what type of property. There was a 134 unit condo complex next to the local train station. This made a primary location for New York City commuters like myself since, by railroad it was only an hour away. I got a hold of a friend of the family who was a real estate agent, and asked for comps of sold units for the previous year. The two bedroom, one and half bath units all sold for around $125k, plus or minus $5,000. With these condos the primary variable was how much was renovated since all had the same layout. These units were built in 1973, and were at the ripe age of needing must done improvements. I spotted an inefficiency in the market, and knew my target.

I looked at 5 other units in the condo complex before I found “the one”. After a few months after my initial research I spotted a unit for sale in the local newspaper. It was for sale by owner, and had an open house that Friday. After work I quickly hopped over to the place to take a look. As I entered the unit the first thing I noticed was an older couple walking out in disgust. I walked into the unit, and quickly figured out why. There was the distinct smell of an animal’s wet fur. I found from the presenter this unit had been a rental property since it was built. Everything was original, and nothing had been upgraded since it was built. Too my surprise the smell came from the living room, which had a caged ferret in it. After I inquired about the ferret, the presenter of the property explained to me the tenant had his two sons living all living in this two-bedroom apartment. This explained why the living room ceiling had pinholes in it. It appeared the tenant used a blanket to cordon off the living room into a makeshift bedroom for the oldest son. The story gets better from here.
[Read more…]

Current TD Ameritrade Sign-Up Promotions (Updated 10/2010)

With their new commision-free ETF list, there might be a renewed interest for a TD Ameritrade account (though not from me). Here are the current promotions available. They have different opening balance requirements, different expiration dates, and some are valid for IRAs and some are not, so I’ll leave it to you to see which one fits best.

Trade Free for 60 Days + Up to $500 Cash Bonus
Open a new account with at least $2,000. Only the free trades are valid for IRAs. Technically you can get up to 500 free trades for the first 60 days after account funding. The cash bonus depends on your funding amount, from $100 to $500. Selected fine print:

Offer valid for one new Individual or Joint TD Ameritrade account opened by 12/31/11 and funded within 30 days of account opening with $2,000 or more. Funding with minimum of $25,000 – $99,999 receives $100 cash, funding with minimum of $100,000 – $249,999 receives $250 cash, funding with minimum of $250,000 or more receives $500 cash. IRAs and other tax-exempt accounts are not eligible to receive the cash bonus. Offer is not transferable and not valid with internal transfers, accounts using the Amerivest service, TD Ameritrade Institutional accounts, current TD Ameritrade accounts or with other offers. Commission-free trades will be limited to a maximum of 500 Internet equity, ETF or options trades. Qualified orders must execute within 60 days of account funding. Contract, exercise, and assignment fees still apply. Limit one offer per client. Account must remain open with minimum funding required for participating in the offer for 9 months, or TD Ameritrade may charge the account for the cost of the cash awarded to the account. TD Ameritrade reserves the right to restrict or revoke this offer at any time. This is not an offer or solicitation in any jurisdiction where we are not authorized to do business. (Offer Code: 201)

$5 trades for 12 months
New accounts opened with at least $2,000 can get $5 market/limit trades for 12 months. Valid for IRAs. Selected fine print:

Offer valid for new TD Ameritrade IRAs, Individual and Joint accounts that are opened by 11/30/10 and funded within 30 days of account opening with a minimum deposit of $2,000 or more. Internet equity or option trades are $5 for market or limit orders during the 12-month introductory period. Interactive Voice Response (IVR) trades will be $5 for market or limit orders. Broker-assisted trades will be $24.99 for a market order or $29.99 for a limit order during this period. Contract, exercise, and assignment fees still apply. Commission rates are valid 12 months from qualifying deposit of $2,000 or more. At the conclusion of the 12-month introductory period, Internet equity or option trades will be $9.99 for market or limit orders, IVR trades will be $34.99 for market or limit orders, and broker-assisted trades will be $44.99 for market or limit orders. Your new account must remain open and funded with the minimum required funding for 12 months or the account will be reverted back to the standard commission schedule.

Up to 25,000 Delta Skymiles
Open with $2,500 and get 5,000 Delta miles, $10,000 for 10,000 miles, and $50,000 for 25,000 miles. Selected fine print:

Offer valid for one new Individual or Joint TD Ameritrade account opened and funded by U.S. residents with $2,500 or more by 12/31/2010. Not transferable and not valid for IRA or other tax-exempt accounts, internal transfers, current TD Ameritrade clients or with other offers. Limit one offer per client. […] Account must remain open with minimum funding required for participating in the offer for 9 months, or TD Ameritrade may charge the account for the cost of the SkyMiles. Allow 6-8 weeks from account funding for the first half of the miles to appear in your SkyMiles account. To qualify for the second half, TD Ameritrade account must remain open with minimum funding required for participating in the offer for 6 months from the first mileage posting date.

Up to 25,000 United Mileage Plus miles
Same idea as with Delta above, except for United miles. Selected fine print:

Offer valid for new Individual or Joint accounts opened and funded by U.S. residents with $2,500 or more by 12/31/2010. Not transferable and not valid for IRA or other tax-exempt accounts, internal transfers, current TD Ameritrade clients, or with other offers. Limit one offer per client. […] Account must remain open with minimum funding required for participating in the offer for 9 months, or TD Ameritrade may charge the account for the cost of the miles. Allow 6 weeks from account funding for the first half of miles to appear in the Mileage Plus account. To qualify for the second half, TD Ameritrade account must remain open with minimum funding required for participating in the offer for 6 months from the first posting date.

30 days free trades + $100, $250, or $500 Cash
If you fund with $25,000 minimum, you can get $100 cash. 100,000 minimum gets you $250 cash. Whopping $250k minimum gets you $500 cash. You also get 30 days of commission-free trades. Here’s basically the same offer valid for 401k rollovers. Selected fine print:

Offer valid for one new Individual or Joint TD Ameritrade account opened by 06/30/2011 and funded within 30 days of account opening with $2,000 or more. Funding with minimum of $25,000 – $99,999 receives $100 cash, funding with minimum of $100,000 – $249,999 receives $250 cash, funding with minimum of $250,000 or more receives $500 cash. IRA and other tax-exempt accounts are not eligible to receive the $100 cash bonus. […] Qualified commission-free Internet equity, ETF or options orders must execute within 30 days of account funding. Contract, exercise, and assignment fees still apply. Limit one offer per client. Account must remain open with minimum funding required for participating in the offer for 9 months, or TD Ameritrade may charge the account for the cost of the cash awarded to the account.

Vanguard Lowers Minimum Balance Requirements For Mutual Fund Admiral Shares

Vanguard made another announcement that effective today (10/6), the minimum amount required to qualify for Admiral Shares has been reduced to $10,000 for most of their index funds and $50,000 for actively-managed funds, significantly reduced from the previous $100,000 minimum.

Admirals shares are a separate share class of 52 mutual funds in addition to the standard Investor shares. While owning the same underlying investments, they also take advantage of the cost savings of big accounts and thus have lower annual expense ratios. According to their press release, the lowered requirements means that nearly half of all Vanguard clients can take advantage of at least one of these Admiral funds.

Here is a chart comparing Investor vs. Admiral shares costs for three major funds, along with the overall average across for all similar funds:

Here’s another comparison chart of the same broad funds with similar competitors from Fidelity and Schwab. Note that there are some differences in actual fund holdings, especially in the international funds (click to enlarge with more details):

Here’s a list of excluded index funds:

The minimum amount to qualify for Admiral Shares will remain at $100,000 for the following sector index funds: Consumer Discretionary Index Fund, Consumer Staples Index Fund, Energy Index Fund, Financials Index Fund, Health Care Index Fund, Industrials Index Fund, Information Technology Index Fund, Materials Index Fund, Telecommunication Services Index Fund, and Utilities Index Fund, and for the following tax-managed funds: Tax-Managed Capital Appreciation Fund, and Tax-Managed Growth and Income Fund.

I’m probably going to switch to the Admiral Shares of Vanguard Total International Stock (VGTSX, ER 0.20%) when it comes out, away from the Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF (VEU , ER 0.25%) which I just converted to. Their holdings are now pretty close. While I don’t mind ETFs that much, they are a bit more work because I like to make a limit order during stock market hours in order to get a proper fill. (I don’t like market orders in case there is another flash crash or similar.) If it’s both cheaper and easier, I gotta go for it.

This will also keep me from converting some of my other mutual funds to ETFs, as the expense difference will either be gone or significantly minimized. They say that the newly qualified folks will have their funds transferred over – with no tax consequences – automatically over the next few weeks. If you’re impatient like me, you can manually request it as well online. Just log into your account at Vanguard and look for the “Convert to Admiral Shares” link. It’s always nice to save some money without doing anything at all.

Vanguard Target Retirement Funds Changes: Increased International Exposure

A lot of people own Vanguard Target Retirement 20XX Funds, and I just noticed that Vanguard made an announcement that they will be making some changes:

  • The international equity weighting will be increased to 30% of the overall stock portion fund, up from about 20%.
  • Three of the funds (European Stock Index, Pacific Stock Index, and Emerging Markets Stock Index) will be replaced by a single fund, Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund.
  • The Total International Stock Index Fund itself is making some changes. Its benchmark index will switch to the MSCI All Country World ex USA Investable Market Index, which differs from the previous index by adding exposure to Canada and Israel, as well as adding a ~13% allocation to small-cap companies.

All of these changes sound good to me, even if it is another example of Vanguard following the herd. The very first target retirement funds had no exposure to Emerging Markets. Emerging got hot, and then Vanguard added to their funds. Investors have been increasing their international exposure as well recently, and 20% was less than their competitors like Fidelity and starting to look old-fashioned. (Perhaps this is another move away from the philosophies of founder Jack Bogle.)

This also means most Target funds will consist of just three funds:

  • Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund
  • Vanguard Total International Stock Index Fund
  • Vanguard Total Bond Market II Index Fund

The stated reasons are for increased simplification and diversification (and a little less volatility perhaps), and not for any increase in expected future returns. Here’s a Q&A from Morningstar with Vanguard CIO Gus Sauter about the topic.

I still like this series of all-in-one funds for those people who like the idea of auto-pilot and have all their retirement savings in tax-deferred accounts like 401ks and IRAs. They are simple, reduce your stock exposure gradually over time, keep costs low, and rebalance regularly for you. You can also adjust your risk level by choosing a different target year.

I held the Vanguard Target Retirement 2045 (VTIVX) for a while. After selling it, I’ve found it very easy to let my asset allocation shift.

However, if you have both taxable and tax-deferred investment accounts, splitting up your bonds and stocks for optimal tax-efficiency can help you increase your after-tax returns.

ChoiceTrade: Free Options Trades During Expiration Week

Online broker ChoiceTrade recently announced that they are now offering equity and ETF options trades for zero commission during options expiration week. Expiration week is the week ending with expiration Friday — the week before the third Saturday of each month. Summary of details:

* Zero-commission option trading, once a month, for one week during options expiration week
* A maximum of 500 option contracts can be traded, per household, at the zero-commission rate each month.
* Program includes single-leg and multi-leg trades (spreads).
* Only equity and ETF options qualify.
* Index option trades do not qualify for zero commission option trades. Index option trades will be charged at the normal options commission of $5 per trade, plus $0.55 per contract.
* An account is eligible if the account holder has been qualified to trade options.

I’m not an expert on options trading, but I do know that some folks try to avoid trading as the expiration time nears. Here’s a post from TraderMike about why he doesn’t trade the last two days before expiration (Jim Cramer avoids Fridays). That still leaves Monday through Wednesday, though.

Regular price for options trades is $5 per trade, plus $0.55 per contract. ChoiceTrade recently revamped their website in August with a better web-based trading system, in addition to a platform-based system as well. Rated 4-stars by Barron’s. I’ve mentioned them before as they offer competitive $5 stock/ETF trades including unlimited shares and penny stocks (many brokers don’t).

Missing the Best & Worst Days of the S&P 500


(Click to enlarge.)

Using the SPDR S&P 500 ETF to represent the S&P 500 stock market since the ETF inception in 1993, the chart above shows the effect of:

  • Blue: Holding the entire time. “Buy & Hold”
  • Red: Missing the 10 best days only.
  • Yellow: Missing the 10 worst days only.
  • Green: Missing both the 10 worst days and the 10 best days.

I found this via TheBigPicture, but disagree with the idea that you should try to find out how to miss the 10 worst days avoid the worst days in general. [Edit: See comments for more.] I see no evidence at all that anyone has the ability to predict/avoid the best or worst days ahead of time.

I also don’t agree with the idea that this supports Buy & Hold because you don’t want to miss the 10 best days. Again, if you miss the 10 best, you’re likely to be missing the 10 worst. It works both ways.

The fact that you end up with more money by missing the 10 worst days and less money by missing the 10 best days simply gets a “duh” reaction from me. The bigger divergence recently just reaffirms that prices have been a lot more volatile in the last couple of years.

Instead, the focus should be on that fact that if you take out both the 10 worst days and the 10 best days, you’ll basically do just as fine as buy & hold. Stock market investing is chaotic and tough on the stomach if you watch all the swings. If you take out the swings, you still get the same results! But you can’t in reality take out the swings, so the best thing is to try and ignore them.

I don’t want to spend my life competing against Wall Street whiz kids and supercomputer trading algorithms, so I just invest passively with rock-bottom costs. Work on your career or build a business… put your energy into something in which you have more control.

Behind The Scenes: No Transaction Fee (NTF) Fund Supermarkets

After the Bogle/Hennessy squabble (here’s the latest), I’ve been digging for more details about mutual fund “supermarkets” where you can buy funds from various managers all with no transaction fee (NTF)… but at a cost. Charles Schwab introduced the concept first in the 1980s. Today, the Big 3 of fund supermarkets are:

  • Charles Schwab with 2,000+ NTF funds,
  • Fidelity Investments with 1,400+ NTF funds, and
  • TD Amertrade with 1,600+ NTF funds

How They Work

Each of these brokers currently charge fund companies 0.40% annually of their fund assets owned through their specific NTF network. So, if a mutual fund XXXXX had $200 million of assets total but only $100 million was through Schwab, they’d have to pay 0.4% of $100m ($400k) a year to Schwab. The fund has to then pass this cost onto investors. However, the annual expense ratio charged to fund investors has to be the same for everyone, no matter where they hold the fund. Therefore, the investors that own the fund through cheaper or more direct means are effectively subsidizing the NTF investors.

Result: Although they are cheaper to buy and sell, NTF funds tend to be more expensive when you look at their annual expense ratios.

TD Ameritrade raised their fee from 0.35% to 0.40% in April 2010 to match the other two, according to this InvestmentNews article. There is speculation now if this means Fidelity and Schwab may raise their rates again as well. Part of this is due to the fact that after the recent financial crisis there is even less competition, due to closures and mergers. (TD Ameritrade itself is a result of a merger of TD Waterhouse and Ameritrade .)

From this Kiplinger’s article, NTF funds can also hurt your net performance in other ways:

NTF funds typically receive a tidal wave of money when performance is red-hot. The money flows out just as rapidly when returns cool. That swift ebb and flow of dollars hurts a fund’s long-term returns because it forces managers to buy and sell securities at times when they may be better off doing the opposite. In-flows and out-flows are usually much less volatile for funds that are outside NTF networks.

The Convenience Factor

If you’re a small fund company, it’s probably a lot of work to sell directly to shareholders, and also you lack the marketing might of the big brokers. From a investor point-of-view, beyond avoiding any transaction fees, we also love convenience. From this RIABiz article:

Schwab and its rivals have gotten a stranglehold on the distribution of mutual funds because they are in the best position to provide the convenience of one-stop shopping and one-statement viewing that no individual mutual fund company ever could.

“It is true that investors can go direct to many of the larger fund families, but they give up a consolidated view of their accounts when they do that,” Ellis says. “We know that clients value that single report that shows all their holdings.”

If You Don’t Pay, You Can’t Be A Top Pick

Each of the brokers has their own “preferred” set of funds that they promote to their customers. Well, you can’t be one of these funds unless you pay the money to be in their NTF platform. Check out Fund Picks from Fidelity, OneSource Select from Schwab, and the Premier List from TD Ameritrade.

Yup, they are “specially screened” alright… and the first screen is if the check cleared… Pay to play.

Do Huge Funds Get Special Discounts?

What about the big boys? Are these fees set in stone or is their a discount for funds with huge assets? Apparently, TD Ameritrade is much more flexible than the others. Perhaps that has helped them grow so fast. From the same InvestmentNews article:

TD Ameritrade is negotiating with fund companies that have low expense ratios and can’t afford the new fee, said one fund company official familiar with the situation, who asked not to be identified. Schwab and Fidelity are not as flexible, the official said.

More proof of this is that T. Rowe Price is now a NTF fund at TD Ameritrade. From the MutualFundWire article Did TD Give T. Rowe a Deal?:

In the past, T. Rowe Price has been reticent to join the NTF platforms, preferring to have shareholders who purchase shares through the marts to pay the transaction fee thereby keeping shareholders who buy directly from subsidizing the sales. T. Rowe Price’s brand is popular with advisors, which may give it a leg up in negotiations with the mutual fund supermarkets, say industry insiders.

A source familiar with the situation said T. Rowe Price is paying “significantly less than 40 bps” TD Ameritrade has been charging other mutual fund firms since early this year when it raised its fee from 35 bps. Just how much less than 40 bps the fund firm is paying could not be learned.

T. Rowe Price is known for their relatively low fees on their actively-managed mutual funds, which combined with their good past performance has created a very strong following of investors and financial advisors. I’m not sure if I would see this as a good or bad thing. If they can increase asset size without hurting performance, then in theory TRP can maintain their low costs for all investors. I guess we’ll see.

Fund Families Fight Back?

As fees keep rising, an analyst from the RIABiz article mentioned above thinks small funds may band together to revolt:

“As fees increase and the platforms capture more of the value stream, I would not be surprised to see smaller mutual fund families, faced with extinction, combining into a sort of ‘open architecture fund warehouse,’ and pull their diminished fund sales from the platforms,” he says. “A fund co-op could undercut Fidelity, Schwab and TD Ameritrade while still providing a single report.”

I think this would be awesome, and relatively easy to set up in this digital age. Good idea for a start-up?

Vote With Your Money

It’s interesting to see how such funds are distributed and promoted behind the scenes, but in the end it is up to us investors to vote with our money. If you think it’s worth it to buy NTF funds through one of these brokers, then you can continue doing so. But look around, there may be similar funds out there that are cheaper to own. Look at fund companies like Vanguard, PIMCO, and Dodge & Cox that don’t do NTF hardly anywhere. In addition, smaller fund supermarkets like E-Trade may charge less and thus offer a more options.

Mutual Fund Supermarkets Charge 40 Basis Points?

In a recent Wall Street Journal Op-Ed article by Vanguard founder Jack Bogle, he reaffirmed studies like the one from Morningstar showing that one of the strongest predictors of mutual fund performance is how low their annual expense ratios are. In addition, he shared data that fees on actively-managed funds continue to rise despite increasing asset sizes:

Conclusion: The huge economies of scale available in managing other people’s money have largely been arrogated by fund managers to their own benefit rather than to the benefit of fund shareholders.

In a letter to the Editor, Neil Hennessy, president and chief executive of fund manager Hennessy Advisors Inc. shot back, listing his own reasons for keeping his fund fees north of 1% (100 basis points) annually.

For one of our typical funds, federal and state registration fees have increased 44%, legal fees have increased 73%, and audit fees have increased 30%. […] Also, while no-transaction fee platforms didn’t exist in the 1960s, today funds pay as much as 40 basis points to be on the platforms offered by the likes of The Charles Schwab Corp. and Fidelity Investments.

According to this Investment News article, other mutual fund managers also feel this way.

His grievances are shared by many in the fund industry, said Don Phillips, a managing director at Morningstar.

“I think a lot of people would be afraid to do what Neil did and that is to out the distributors,” he said. “The asset managers are taking all the blame for high fund expenses, while the distributors are completely off the radar.”

I thought this was an interesting debate. I had no idea it cost that much for smaller mutual funds to get the accessibility of being part of a mutual fund “supermarket” like Schwab or Fidelity. However, that cost does allow investors to buy the funds with no transaction fee (NTF) at these places, which no doubt encourages more activity. In the long run though, 40 basis points is a huge ongoing drag. Here is an old 2004 Forbes article I found on fund supermarkets that also confirms the 35-40 basis point number.

I logged into Fidelity and found that all 10 non-institutional Hennessy retail funds were on the Fidelity NTF list. However, their expense ratios were also in the 1.30% to 1.70% range – well above average even for active funds. Hennessy isn’t exactly doing all they can to save money for the investor.

It would be nice if smaller mutual funds had a more open marketplace to distribute themselves, since it would seem a huge percent of their cost is just marketing. Of course, that’s also true for a lot of other things we buy, from breakfast cereal to basketball shoes. At the very least, an investor should always try to buy direct from the fund provider whenever possible.

In the end, I’m happy that I can buy most of my mutual funds “wholesale” from Vanguard with their at-cost philosophy, along with some “loss-leader” index funds from Fidelity. Shop smart! 🙂

Hat tip to Barry Barnitz of Bogleheads.

LendingClub Investment Criteria – What Loans To Avoid?

LendingClub.com (LC) is a website that securitizes person-to-person loans so that you can lend money to other people in as little as $25 increments, and you earn the interest. The idea is to replace banks and credit cards as the major middlemen used for lending. Here’s an illustration from their site:

Now, if you read my previous posts on LendingClub, you know I’m skeptical about getting 9.5% returns in the long run. My LendingClub Net Annualized Return is currently 6.8% after fees. If I can stay in the 4-6% range, I’d be happy as I view this activity as a hobby. My favorite loan so far is helping a young couple purchase a tiny 200 sf house-on-wheels.

The investment process is set up such that LC examines the loan application and assigns it a credit grade with an interest rate from 6.39% – 21.64%. All you have to decide is whether to fund the loan or not in increments of $25. You can’t change the rate. Therefore, the key is to quickly fund the relatively attractive loans and avoid the unattractive ones.

You can view historical performance data at the LC website, but it is very raw. I recently came across a new site called LendStats.com that has been sorting through the data and presenting it in some very insightful ways. The owner KenL uses a nice, simple formula for return on investment (ROI) and one can see from the data several ways to improve your returns.

Loan Factors To Avoid

Business loans. If you look at all the loan categories, only the ones under the Educational and Small Business categories have negative ROIs. (Educational loans have a much smaller sample size.) In general, perhaps it is a form of adverse selection when someone with a business idea must resort to making a personally-backed loan from strangers to fund their idea. Also, it may be that the economy is so tough that only select new businesses survive.

Borrowers with mortgages. Until recently, a mortgage holder was deemed more credit-worthy than a renter. That person had to have the means to make a 20% down payment and pass underwriting from a bank. Now, with so many people underwater in their homes, the ROI from renters is higher than mortgage-holders. Renters have greater flexibility with their cashflow. I suspect many people find themselves so bogged down by their mortgages that they decide to simply declare bankruptcy and forget about all their other debts as well.

Loan amounts greater than $20,000. Loans over $25k have a negative ROI overall, with $20k loans not doing much better. Bigger loans means bigger risk, which apparently isn’t adequately compensated for by higher interest rates. Also, I am wary of people doing the “borrow-and-bankrupt” route where they try to amass as much debt as they can and then declare bankruptcy after either a huge party, leaving the country, or hiding assets.

Borrowers with more than 2 credit inquiries within last 6 months. Average ROI consistently goes down as the number of inquiries on your credit report goes up. This indicates that you are also trying to get credit from others, and thus your debt-to-income may be higher than reported. In general, this also increases the likelihood of either desperation, fraud, and/or impending crisis.

Any F and G rated loans. The general trend is still supporting my original plan of only buying the highest-rated A loans, however there are some improvements in the B through E grades. Loans with the lowest grades of F and G continue to have negative ROIs. These are also the loans with the smallest sample size, but since there are so few of them anyway I find it easier to simply avoid them.

2010 Q3 Investment Portfolio Update – Fund Holdings

I’ve already posted my target asset allocation, now here’s my actual portfolio holdings. Again, these are my own choices, governed by the size of my tax-advantaged accounts like IRAs/403b/401ks, the brokerage firms that I use, and my preference of passive management and low fees. Even with the explosion of new blogs, I still don’t see very many people sharing their actual holdings. I hope that if I share, then others will share as well. 🙂

Tax-Efficient Placement

One big change for me over the last two years is that I now run out of room in my IRAs and 401ks each year and now have money sitting in taxable accounts. Since each asset class is taxed differently, where you put your assets can make a big difference in your net return. As a result, I’ve moved some things around. Here’s a handy graphic taken from a post about tax-efficient fund placement:

Chart of Relative Tax Efficiency of Assets

Stocks

US Total Market
I used to own Vanguard Total Stock Market Index Fund (VTSMX) but recently converted that to the ETF share version Vanguard Total Stock Market ETF (VTI) due to the lower 0.07% annual expense ratio. This fund tracks the MSCI US Broad Market Index, and typically holds the largest 1,200–1,300 stocks (covering nearly 95% of the index’s total market capitalization) and a representative sample of the remaining stocks. It currently holds 3,391 different companies. All for $7 a year for each $10,000 hold.

In my 401k, since I have limited options, I hold a mix of 75% Diversified Stock Index Institutional Fund (DISFX) which is basically a S&P 500 fund and 25% Fidelity Spartan Extended Market Index Fund (FSEMX) as it tracks the entire market minus the S&P 500. Together, the track the overall US market very well, at only a slightly higher cost of a weighted 0.25%.

US Small Cap Value
Here, I still hold the Vanguard Small-Cap Value Index Fund (VISVX). I could convert to the Vanguard Small-Cap Value ETF (VBR) with identical holdings and a lower expense ratio of 0.14% vs. 0.28%, but since it is only 5% of my portfolio I haven’t yet. In addition, there are good arguments for alternative ETFs such as iShares Russell 2000 Value Index ETF (IWN) or iShares S&P SmallCap 600 Value Index ETF (IJS). They each track slightly different indices and thus hold different stocks. Something to analyze deeper at a later time.

REIT
I still hold the Vanguard REIT Index Fund (VGSIX) as opposed to the Vanguard REIT ETF (VNQ). Both track the MSCI® US REIT Index. I hold this inside my IRA, so I’d rather just have full investment rather than worry about partial shares and such.

International / Total World excluding US
I used to hold Fidelity Spartan International Index Fund (FSIIX) but now hold the Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US ETF (VEU) which tracks the FTSE All-World ex US Index and holds 2,239 stocks from around the world. There is the equivalent Vanguard FTSE All-World ex-US Index Fund (VFWIX) but since this is a bigger holding for me, the cheaper expense ratio makes a difference.

Emerging Markets
I converted to the Vanguard Emerging Markets ETF (VWO) from the Vanguard Emerging Markets Stock Index Fund (VEIEX). Even though my overall investment here is low, VEIEX has both a 0.25% redemption fee, and a 0.50% purchase fee, which is just too annoying to stay there. Another option would have been the iShares MSCI Emerging Markets Index (EEM), but it is both more expensive and has had more tracking issues. Here’s a EEM vs. VWO comparison post.

Bonds

Short-Term High Quality Bonds
I used to own the Vanguard Short-Term Treasury Fund Investor Shares (VFISX) but it now only yields 0.41% with an average duration of 2.2 years. If you had an IRA at certain banks, you could buy a CD earning 2-3% over the same time horizon. It would be just as safe. There would be less liquidity, but I’m not really concerned about that. The CD would be even better because you can’t lose what you put in.

I’ve actually gone ahead an put this portion of my portfolio in a stable value fund inside my 401k. I explored the risks and rewards of stable value funds, and while they are not of the utmost safety, the worst-case scenario is on the same order of the worst-case scenario of many short-term bond funds. My stable value fund is earning 3.5% for all of 2010.

I’ve also been looking at municipal bond funds such as the Vanguard Limited-Term Tax-Exempt Fund (VMLTX) and Vanguard Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt Fund (VWITX) since they are mostly rated AA and above with interest being federally tax-exempt. If I lived in California and had a big bond allocation, I’d still consider a partial holding in the Vanguard California Intermediate-Term Tax-Exempt Fund (VCAIX) since the interest is higher and is exempt from both federal and CA income tax. I wrote about VCAIX in late 2009 when the yield was 3.49%. It’s done quite well since then, although California’s still got major issues to work out. If I lived in New York, I’d consider the same for NY funds.

Inflation-Protected Bonds (TIPS)
Here, the only thing to buy is either individual TIPS bonds or a mutual fund/ETF holding TIPS bonds. Usually buying individual bonds is risky because you aren’t spreading the default risk across hundreds of issuers, but in this case every single bond is just as safe and backed by the US government.

I have my Self-Employed 401k at Fidelity, which allows me to buy individual TIPS with no commission (just bid/ask spread). I bought some longer-term TIPS with real yields of 2-3%, and they’ve been doing well since real yields have dropped since. In addition, I hold shares of the iShares Barclays TIPS Bond ETF (TIP) because I can trade iShares ETFs commission-free at Fidelity.

The Vanguard Inflation-Protected Securities Fund Investor Shares (VIPSX) was also considered, along with new TIPS ETFs that have different maturities such as the PIMCO 15+ Year U.S. TIPS Index ETF (LTPZ).

OptionsXpress Review: Application, Broker Commissions, Trading Features, $100 Bonus

OptionsXpress.com (OX) is a online brokerage site that specialized in options and futures trading, but has since expanded their offering to be one-stop-shop – offering stocks, bonds, brokered CDs, and mutual funds. Like some of you, I signed up a while back when they were offering a fat bonus (very limited-time offer). Since I have an account, here’s a user’s review of the broker.

Application

The online application is of the usual brokerage sort, with questions about your job, trading style, and any potential conflicts of interest. You can fill in most of your details online but you must still mail in a signed form to start trading. There is no minimum opening balance required for a cash account ($2,000 min for margin), but you can fund initially via electronic transfer, wire, or check.

Commissions and Fees

Stocks and ETFs are $9.95 per trade (market or limit, up to 1,000 shares), which is basically average now in the discount broker world. Broker-assisted trades are no additional charge, which is nice. Mutual fund trades are also $9.95.

Where OX is more competitive is in the options trading area. On their lower tier (0–34 trades/quarter), you can get 10 contracts for $15 with no base rate. They say that the average options trader trades 20 times a year, 10 lots at a time. Here’s their graphic how that stacks up:

No minimum account balances, no account maintenance fees, and no inactivity fees. Streaming real-time quotes are also free.

Cash Management

OX has a basic and functional ACH funds transfer system for electronic transfers to a linked bank account, which is free for deposits and withdrawals. You can add additional linked banks online via the trial deposit method. All ACH deposit requests must be received by 3:30pm ET to be processed same business day. All other requests will be processed on the following business day. ACH deposits will be available for trading on the third business day after processing. If you send them actual bank statement, you can arrange for next-business day availability of funds.

Free checkwriting is available on accounts open at least 6 weeks with $5000 minimum equity balance.

Their FDIC-insured cash sweep account currently yields a tiny 0.02%, but sadly that’s also about average for the industry right now.

Features

While they aren’t the cheapest, here are some features that differentiate them.

MyOX
If you are a very active trader, you are familiar with proprietary software by software-based brokers. MyOX works inside a regular web browser, but still enables you to customize the trading interface with widgets that you prefer. The best way to describe it is if you use iGoogle where you can move around modules with drag-and-drop. You can have your watchlist, charts, RSS news fees, etc. Here’s a screenshot of how I had mine set up:

Customer Service
OX offers live chat Mon-Fri, 8am-10pm ET and Sat, 10am-2pm ET which is much later than market hours. Their general support line (888) 280-8020 is also open until 10pm Eastern. I don’t live on the East Coast so I found this very convenient.

XpressRouter – Improved Order Routing
A big concern when you go with a discount broker is the getting the best execution of your orders. How do you know you couldn’t have gotten $45.25 per share instead of $45.18? Times 100 shares, that’s $7 right there. They use what they call XpressRouter to routing your trade between several options and get the best execution. NBBO is National Best Bid and Offer.

At optionsXpress, you can be sure to get the NBBO on any eligible trade. We guarantee the best price or we’ll credit your commission. If you see a possible discrepancy, let us know immediately after you get the electronic confirmation of the execution. Our commitment is to provide the quickest execution at a reasonable price so you can trade with confidence.

$100 Sign-Up Bonus
OptionsXpress has a current promotion offering new customers a $100 bonus if they open an account with at least $500 and make 3 trades with a year.

Offer is valid for one new Individual or Joint optionsXpress account opened and funded with at least $500 by US residents on or before December 31, 2011 at 11:59 CST, and having executed 3 trades within twelve months of account opening. To receive $100 bonus, account must be funded with at least $500 cash or securities transferred from a brokerage firm other than optionsXpress. The $100 bonus will be deposited into the new optionsXpress account within one month after meeting the terms and conditions of this offer. optionsXpress may charge the account for the cost of the $100 bonus should account fail to remain open with minimum funding (excluding trading losses) 6 months from the account open date.

Since their overall price structure isn’t rock bottom, this bonus it will let you open an account and trade several options contracts for free to see if you like it.