Remembering the Big Picture

As I’ve been frantically trying to finish multiple projects before my planned Labor Day road trip, I haven’t spent as much time online. I think this has allowed me to sit back and remember the Big Picture. In truth, the one thing I’ve learned since starting this blog about striving for financial freedom is that it’s actually pretty simple.

1) Save at least 10% of your income. 15% is better than 10%. And so on. Try to make it tax-deferred in an IRA or 401(k).

2) Invest it into low-cost index funds. Let capitalism work for you. For the simplest portfolio, buy the lowest cost Target-dated retirement fund you have access to. There are tons of books on why and how.

That’s it. You don’t need random free money or try to optimize your portfolios or even play credit card tricks. I find it fun and profitable, but #1 and #2 are still by far my top priorities. In fact, you don’t even need to read this blog (gasp!). But I’d prefer it if you did 😉

Added: I’ve added a counter-post about the why I choose to do the little things too and how much I make from them.

Get Access to DFA Funds For Only $50 A Month

While searching for cheap access to Dimensional Fund Advisors (DFA) funds, I ran across the fact that you can get access to them via West Virginia’s SMART529 Select Plan. If you are a WV resident, the contributions are even tax-deductible!

They have various aggressively allocated portfolios with an expense ratio of about 0.20-0.50%. The killer is that there is also a management fee of 0.55%, which can up the overall annual expenses to over 1%. Depending on how much you think DFA will outperform similar Vanguard funds, you may want to go with a Vanguard-based 529 like Nevada’s. Check out their Aggressive Growth/Age-Based 0-3 Portfolio (total expenses of 1.02%):
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Estimating Future Investment Returns: 30-Year Forecast

It’s very hard to estimate exactly how much we’ll have to save for retirement, as that would require knowing how much our investments will grow in the future. Even if we try to do long-term trends, this can be difficult. But Richard Ferri, author of All About Asset Allocation and founder of Portfolio Solutions, LLC has done his best by layering risk premiums to estimate market returns. You can find the article for free online – ‘Portfolio Solutions 30-year Market Forecast’. An excerpt:

At the end of each year, we analyzed several economic and market risk factors including Federal Reserve forecasts, inflation forecasts derived from inflation protected securities, and the volatility of asset classes, styles, and categories. From that data, we developed estimates for longterm future returns.

Here are some of the results:
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FundAdvice.com and Portfolio Tweaking

Spent some time this weekend reading many of the articles at FundAdvice.com. The website is the educational arm of Merriman Capital Management, an investment management firm that is heavily into DFA funds. They promote no-load, asset-specific, low-cost funds (which often end up as index funds), and have a lot of interesting things to say on both active and passive investing.

I naturally gravitated towards the passive investing articles, and favorite article so far is ‘The ultimate buy-and-hold strategy’, which agrees with why I want to slice-and-dice my portfolio. I was also intrigued by their ideas for investors with small portfolios. Instead of picking an all-in-one fund or a cash fund until you have enough to invest, they advise you to pick the asset class with the most potential return but highest volatility (U.S. small-cap value to begin with) and build upwards.
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Bought 499 Shares of Advanced Nutraceuticals (ANII.OB)

As part of my free trial of Contributor’s Corner, last week I bought 499 shares of Advanced Nutraceuticals (ANII.OB). ANII makes vitamins and supplements, and recently filed for a 500-to-1 reverse stock split. It’s doing this order to get under 300 shareholders and thus avoid all the paperwork involved with Sarbanes-Oxley compliance. Now, this could be a good or bad thing in people’s eyes, but I’m not focusing on that.

What I am focusing on is that in order to get rid of all the small shareholders, they are going to pay $4 for each share if you have 499 shares or less. ANII.OB is currently trading at ~$3.45. That’s about a 16% gain, and from George and other sources it seems like it is likely to go through. Here are some more articles:
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Scottrade Says To Stop Sending Them Customers

I got a call today from Scottrade that they want me to stop referring customers to them via this blog, as part of their Scottrade referral program. I didn’t have time to ask them exactly why since I was busy, but after hanging up I got to thinking – how is this a good idea for them? Not like I was spamming anybody. Isn’t that the whole point of having a referral program? To get more customers? Shrug.

August 2006 Retirement Portfolio / Cash Snapshot

Here is another snapshot of my retirement portfolio as of market close 8/3. I haven’t bought or sold any funds since my last update. I hope to use this data later to better track my overall investment returns.

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All Beginner Investors Should Read This.

…discussion at Vanguard Diehards forum, started by a newbie investor after today’s big stock market jump. Does it sound familiar?

I am 27 years old and just recently decided to buy into the market in a lump sum in a taxable account … on May 10, 2006, I jumped right in with about 35K. I couldn’t have picked a worse time to buy in. Two months later I’m down $2,600 with no recovery in sight, and little confidence of any near term turnaround. So last Friday, I moved everything to a money market account, and missed today’s bounce. Now I’m convinced that I will always make the wrong investment decisions, and can’t get the thought of knowing that I threw that money away out of my mind. What do I do now? Should I DCA money back in? Should I buy back in right now? Should I wait a few months and see how the market is performing? Should I cut my losses and abandon the market forever outside of my retirement accounts?

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Do You Have A Fun Money Account?

I tend to swing constantly between being really interested in trading individual stocks and then not looking at a quote for weeks. To make things worse, I live in the Pacific time zone and the markets close at 1pm here. I am not a morning person, which leaves me with about two hours to trade each day! :/

I’ve always liked the idea of keeping the majority of my retirement savings in index funds, but having a separate money account to try and “beat the market”, as everyone says. Maybe either give it $50 a month, or cap it at 5% of my net worth? I’ve read several investing books that mention this as a way to manage the urge to actively trade, but does anyone out there actually have one of these accounts? If so, do you recommend it?

Charlie Rose Show: Warren Buffett Interview

If you’re a Warren Buffett fan, you’ll enjoy this 3-part series by the Charlie Rose show on PBS, free for now via Google Video:

July 10, Monday – Warren Buffett: The Man
July 11, Tuesday – Warren Buffett: The Business
July 12, Wednesday – Warren Buffett: The Gift (not up yet)

From the brief bit I’ve seen, Buffett seems very energetic and interesting to listen to. I’ll definitely watch this later. Thanks to AK for the tip.

SogoInvest Feature Review – New Discount Brokerage, $3 Trades

SogoInvest Logo

There is a new discount brokerage on the block – SogoInvest.com. Mentioned yesterday in the Wall Street Journal, this broker is interesting on a couple of levels.

Automatic Investing Broker King?
It’s obvious that this broker has buy-and-hold automatic brokers like ShareBuilder as one of its targets. It offers the same no minimums and easy dollar-cost-averaging via fractional shares and automatic weekly investing. But it’s cheaper. At the most basic plan, it offers $3 automatic trades vs. $4 at ShareBuilder. And whereas ShareBuilder charges $14.95 for real-time market trades, SogoInvest charges the same low $3. Nice.

If you want a lot of auto trades, you can get 15 free for $15/month, plus only $1 more for each additional one. Real-time trades are then only $1.50. However, if you truly want to “build your own mutual fund” with more than 20 stocks, FolioFN still offers 200 automatic trades per month, for $20/month or $200 a year.

Overall Discount Broker King?
Looked at another way, SogoInvest is just another really cheap discount broker. $3 a for market/limit orders is pretty solid. As an introductory offer, new signups at Sogo get $1 trades (both real-time and automatic) for 90 days. Note that IRAs are currently not available. A good question would be what kind of features they offer and how they compare with other brokers with trades in the $5-$7 range.

Still, I wouldn’t say they are the hands-down cheapest. MB Trading which still offers trades starting at only $1 (100 shares or less). Depending on your trading behavior, MB Trading or the similar Interactive Brokers might be cheaper.

Grant at TheCornerOfficeBlog has his own opinions on SogoInvest as well, and makes some good points.

I think that Sogo offers a good alternative to ShareBuilder (although SB has given me a decent amount of free money). But as a discount broker I’d weigh all the options first. Price is big, but not everything.

For me personally, I’m going to stick with Scottrade for my main account, and continue to tinker with my MB Trading account whenever I have enough time to do so. Of course, if they offer a juicy sign-up bonus…

June 2006 Retirement Portfolio / Cash Snapshot

In addition to my monthly net worth updates, I’ve decided to also take snapshot of my investing portfolio and my overall asset allocation. I want to also track any fund or ETF purchases so that I can better calculate my actual returns over time.

I haven’t decided whether to do it monthly or quarterly, but here’s my retirement portfolio as of today:

Retirement Portfolio
Fund $ %
IVV – iShares S&P 500 Index ETF $9,500 15%
VIVAX – V [Large-Cap] Value Index $11,700 19%
VISVX – V. Small-Cap Value Index $12,000 19%
VGSIX – V. REIT Index $7,100 12%
VTRIX – V. International Value $6,500 11%
VEIEX – V. Emerging Markets Stock Index $5,900 10%
VFICX – V. Int-Term Investment-Grade Bond $7,100 12%
BRSIX – Bridgeway Ultra-Small Market $1,900 3%
Total $59,800
June Fund Transactions
None.

I also decided, after meaning to do it for a long time, to track my “what I could come up with in 24 hours” cash balance as well as my current metric of “non-retirement” funds for my Mid-Term goal. This Liquid Available Cash is a better measurement of how much money I could put towards a house down payment as it removes things like my 0% balance transfer money, and my car equity. My small individual stock portfolio is included because I would just sell them as needed.

Right now, I’m just putting down my best estimate.

Liquid Available Cash $25,000 (est.)

Thoughts

The stock market overall ain’t doing so hot. I wish I had more money to dollar-cost average, but I think I have already put too much money into retirement and have neglected my cash needs. I am going to keep most of the money I make this summer in cash accounts and hopefully pump up that $25,000 number a bit.

I am also considering moving my IVV S&P 500 ETF holdings, which are currently in a taxable account at Scottrade, to a Self-Employed 401k (administrator unknown). Since they are currently at a loss, I won’t have any capital gains tax to pay if I sell and I’ll just need to find an appropriate ETF to avoid wash-sale rules. I’ll also be able to harvest some tax losses.